Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 1.754811e-03 0.001944 0.002135 0.002341 0.002556 0.002775 0.003013
2024-12-15 1.485311e-03 0.001760 0.002046 0.002363 0.002704 0.003057 0.003449
2024-12-22 1.237589e-03 0.001572 0.001931 0.002340 0.002789 0.003264 0.003800
2024-12-29 1.069930e-03 0.001454 0.001879 0.002375 0.002930 0.003526 0.004208
2025-01-05 9.340578e-04 0.001359 0.001842 0.002418 0.003075 0.003790 0.004617
2025-01-12 8.270345e-04 0.001286 0.001823 0.002477 0.003232 0.004065 0.005038
2025-01-19 6.764329e-04 0.001146 0.001715 0.002423 0.003257 0.004187 0.005285
2025-01-26 5.690996e-04 0.001049 0.001650 0.002414 0.003327 0.004357 0.005584
2025-02-02 4.755660e-04 0.000961 0.001588 0.002403 0.003391 0.004516 0.005867
2025-02-09 4.400688e-04 0.000947 0.001619 0.002504 0.003585 0.004825 0.006320
2025-02-16 3.743120e-04 0.000884 0.001580 0.002513 0.003668 0.005003 0.006623
2025-02-23 2.863528e-04 0.000775 0.001474 0.002433 0.003639 0.005046 0.006767
2025-03-02 2.041668e-04 0.000675 0.001390 0.002402 0.003697 0.005228 0.007116
2025-03-09 1.510259e-04 0.000612 0.001355 0.002435 0.003837 0.005511 0.007589
2025-03-16 9.703150e-05 0.000531 0.001286 0.002418 0.003915 0.005721 0.007979
2025-03-23 6.458260e-05 0.000482 0.001261 0.002459 0.004064 0.006018 0.008476
2025-03-30 4.055585e-05 0.000441 0.001242 0.002506 0.004222 0.006327 0.008987
2025-04-06 2.411020e-05 0.000408 0.001235 0.002568 0.004398 0.006657 0.009525
2025-04-13 6.063179e-06 0.000337 0.001151 0.002515 0.004421 0.006797 0.009834
2025-04-20 2.985707e-07 0.000289 0.001102 0.002507 0.004501 0.007005 0.010225
2025-04-27 NaN 0.000245 0.001053 0.002497 0.004574 0.007205 0.010603
2025-05-04 NaN 0.000238 0.001078 0.002599 0.004801 0.007597 0.011216
2025-05-11 NaN 0.000206 0.001045 0.002610 0.004900 0.007828 0.011632